Wallet briefing

Intelligence view for Event-driven prediction trader

Identity cues, orbit candidates, counterparties, Polymarket behavior, and Dune-ready template actions in one compact view.

Generated 4/10/2026, 4:45:04 AM with mock sourcing

Wallet identity

Event-driven prediction trader

Wallet clusters around high-volatility macro events, reuses a tight counterparty set, and shows repeated prediction-market-style timing.

0x123400000000000000000000000000000000abcdorbit-alpha.ethtradermock
82% confidence

Activity summary

Strong event-driven cadence with repeat USDC settlement rails and orbit wallets that react inside the same market windows.

Orbit stance

Associated wallets are scored from weighted evidence rather than simple seeded labels.

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Try a featured wallet below, or paste any address to open a shareable intelligence page.

Resolution

resolved

Orbit candidates

2

Polymarket

detected

Shareable route

http://localhost:3000/wallet/orbit-alpha.eth

Intel snapshot

At-a-glance

Resolution

resolved

Orbit candidates

2

Counterparties

2

Polymarket

detected

Orbit map

orbit-alpha.eth
orbit-beta.eth
0x4ac10000

This lightweight node view keeps the MVP dependency-light while still making wallet orbit structure legible for demos.

Orbit mapping

Associated wallet orbit

orbit-beta.eth

Likely Linked

82% confidence

Evidence stack points to a likely linked operator pattern, anchored by shared funding source.

Weighted from 3 evidence signals with shared funding source carrying the strongest contribution.

Why this wallet is linked
  • Shared Funding Source: Funding path overlaps through the same staging wallet.
  • Temporal Coordination: Execution windows cluster around the same catalyst hours.
  • Polymarket Behavior Similarity: Prediction market participation pattern is closely aligned.

0x4ac1...cafe

Possible Overlap

65% confidence

Overlap is meaningful but still inferential; the strongest clue is repeated counterparty overlap.

Weighted from 2 evidence signals with repeated counterparty overlap carrying the strongest contribution.

Why this wallet is linked
  • Protocol Interaction Similarity: Protocol touchpoints and route shape are similar.
  • Repeated Counterparty Overlap: Multiple counterparties recur across both wallets.

Flow edges

Notable counterparties

Stablecoin rail

0xfeed00000000000000000000000000000000fade

14 touches

Frequent USDC settlement counterparty across clustered activity windows.

stablecoin_rail

Prediction market bridge

0x9999000000000000000000000000000000001111

9 touches

Routing partner that repeatedly appears near event-driven rotations.

market

Manual only

Dune enrichment

Dune enrichment is disabled for this deployment. No Dune requests will be attempted until ENABLE_DUNE=true is set server-side and a Dune API key is attached.

This capability is fail-closed. No automatic Dune execution happens on page load, wallet lookup, deploy, or background refresh. Only a manual button press can trigger the server route, and that route is blocked unless the deployment is explicitly enabled.

Wallet counterparties

Repeated transfer counterparties and interaction counts for the selected wallet.

not-configured · flows

Recent protocol interactions

Protocol and contract touchpoints that define the wallet's recent activity mix.

not-configured · protocols

Stablecoin counterparties

Stablecoin transfer edges that can reveal routing patterns and rails.

not-configured · flows

Top contract interactions

The contracts and protocols most frequently touched by this wallet.

not-configured · protocols

Recent activity fingerprint

A compact behavior summary for recent activity clusters around the wallet.

not-configured · behavior

Related wallet candidates

Transfer overlap and adjacency candidates that can feed the orbit model.

not-configured · clustering

Dune is manual-only and disabled by default. When enabled later, test with a single explicit button press after the secret is attached server-side.

Status

Resolution and signal quality

Query kind: ens

Resolution status: resolved

Resolver source: fixture

Resolved ENS via deterministic fixture mapping.

Top signals

Shared funding pathCounterparty reuseEvent timing overlap

Prediction markets

Polymarket intelligence

Status: detected

Concentrated event-driven participation with macro and crypto catalyst exposure rather than broad passive market coverage.

ETH ETF approval timing

81%

leans yes

Fed rate cut by June

73%

trades event volatility

Fixture-backed Polymarket behavior profile for deterministic development.

Identity cues

Labels and metadata

Prediction markets native

behavior via fixture

89%

Deterministic fixture-backed label.

orbit-alpha.eth

ens via fixture

99%

Deterministic fixture-backed label.

Trust surface

Source provenance

resolution

mock

Resolved ENS via deterministic fixture mapping.

source: fixture

polymarket

mock

Fixture-backed Polymarket behavior profile for deterministic development.

source: fixture

labels

mock

Deterministic fixture-backed label.

source: fixture

labels

mock

Deterministic fixture-backed label.

source: fixture